Economic Review – August 2023

UK growth rate exceeds expectations The latest gross domestic product (GDP) statistics revealed that the UK economy grew more strongly than expected in June, although more recent survey data does suggest a renewed contraction looks ‘inevitable.’ Official data released last month by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed the economy grew by 0.5% in June. This figure was higher Read More

Residential Property Review – August 2023

Demand down but activity remains robust The residential sales market experienced further negative indicators in July, according to the latest UK Residential Survey by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS), with new buyer enquiries and agreed sales volumes continuing their decline. At the national level, new buyer enquiries recorded a net balance of -45% in July, little changed from Read More

Commercial Property Market Review – August 2023

Higher interest rates dampen investment The results of the Q2 2023 RICS UK Commercial Property Monitor point to a renewed setback for the commercial property market, with an upward shift in interest rate expectations weighing on investor demand and placing downward pressure on capital values. The survey shows a clear majority of respondents (68%) are now of the opinion that Read More

Economic Review – July 2023

UK inflation rate declines Data released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed the UK inflation rate fell by more than expected in June, leading analysts to predict that interest rates are now likely to rise less sharply than previously feared. The latest inflation statistics revealed that the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) 12-month rate – which compares prices in Read More

Residential Property Review – July 2023

RICS survey shows demand falling Activity in the residential sales market deteriorated in June, according to the latest UK Residential Survey by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS), with negative net balance readings returned across many indicators. New buyer enquiries fell to a net balance of -45%, compared to -20% recorded in May, the lowest such reading since October Read More

Commercial Property Market Review – July 2023

Pricing uncertainty weighs on the market Savills recent ‘Market in Minutes’ review of the UK commercial property market has highlighted that pricing uncertainty has intensified due to a combination of fewer assets coming to market and transactions taking longer than usual, in what they describe as ‘a relatively volatile market environment.’ With interest rates elevated, the report says that despite Read More

Economic Review – June 2023

Inflation persistence forces rates higher The Bank of England (BoE) has sanctioned another hike in its benchmark interest rate after citing ‘significant upside news’ which suggests inflation is likely to take longer to fall back to the Bank’s target level. Following its latest meeting, which concluded on 21 June, the BoE’s nine-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted by a 7-2 Read More

Residential Property Review – June 2023

Mixed signals in mortgage and housing markets Inflation hasn’t been falling as quickly as anticipated, resulting in the Bank of England coming under pressure to raise Bank Rate again in May. While lenders had priced in some interest rate rises in advance, the market reaction to inflation data released in May suggests that tolerance had been exceeded and mortgage rates Read More